2024 Game 7 - Arkansas vs LSU score prediction thread

[bigpig]

I  suspect this will be the game where our offense looks great but our defense can't stop anything.

Might be a shootout.


LSU is easily the best offense we've played this year.

[Thin Red Swine]

There is a bigger chance of losing out vs winning out. 

Who said anything about winning out?

[Sus-Scrofa]

THAT'S gonna rip hearts out.

Moral victory, we only allowed one TD

[TorcFiadhein]

I thought that was started in 2016 when Bert was showing he didn't give a shit.

It was definitely Bass...It was in a basketball game thread. I thought it was in the Mike Anderson era

[BASS]

It was definitely Bass...It was in a basketball game thread. I thought it was in the Mike Anderson era

It may have been that long ago,I was thinking 2021. I just remember we barely beat a really bad miss st or something that got stinkholed by another bad team team and I posted that and then we won like 8 in a row.

[HogOfWar]

It may have been that long ago,I was thinking 2021. I just remember we barely beat a really bad miss st or something that got stinkholed by another bad team team and I posted that and then we won like 8 in a row.

Ah, I see. Those Mediocre years come at you so fast.

[Bogey7]

Hogs - 20

LSU - 32

[Hogworth Ballington III]

Anybody predict tusk'soffspring being raped midfield? No? Pity. That would have been the winner.

[Son of Spam]

Anybody predict tusk'soffspring being raped midfield? No? Pity. That would have been the winner.

I did predict US to be raped midfield. And you can't spell Tusk without "us".

[Thin Red Swine]

Anybody predict tusk'soffspring being raped midfield? No? Pity. That would have been the winner.

I'd bet some Corndog has ripped down that Hawg Tuah sign and wiped his ass with it. 

[Show-Me Hog]

Corn Dogs 31
Overconfident Hogs 17

I believe numerically this was the closest (10).

Hogs                 17
Bengals              38

This feels closer but it's not (11).

Bayou Corndo Trash - 48
Hogs with their Heads in Clouds - 17

This one certainly best captured the spirit of the game.  It was a root.

[Thin Red Swine]

How is 38-17 not closer than 31-17?

21 was almost the exact margin.

You're counting total points scored?

[Show-Me Hog]

How is 38-17 not closer than 31-17?

21 was almost the exact margin.

You're counting total points scored?

The math is how far away from each team's score (if you picked the winner).

31-17 is 3 off + 7 off = 10.
38-17 is 4 off + 7 off = 11.
(in other words their 17 was identical, but 31 is closer to LSU's 34 than 38 is).


If it was margin of victory 1,034-1,010 would be the winner.

[Thin Red Swine]

The math is how far away from each team's score (if you picked the winner).

31-17 is 3 off + 7 off = 10.
38-17 is 4 off + 7 off = 11.
(in other words their 17 was identical, but 31 is closer to LSU's 34 than 38 is).


If it was margin of victory 1,034-1,010 would be the winner.

Margin has to be weighted heavier than score, but score still counted so that your absurd example would be tossed out.



 

[Show-Me Hog]

Margin has to be weighted heavier than score, but score still counted so that your absurd example would be tossed out.

Yeah I was trying to be absurd but hypothetically, which is closer to 34-10?

33-10
37-13

37-13 gets the margin of victory exact but I think it's 33-10.

Maybe it's an art not a science.

[DirkPiggler]

The math is how far away from each team's score (if you picked the winner).

31-17 is 3 off + 7 off = 10.
38-17 is 4 off + 7 off = 11.
(in other words their 17 was identical, but 31 is closer to LSU's 34 than 38 is).


If it was margin of victory 1,034-1,010 would be the winner.

I lean towards agreeing with TRS, but I'll take it since we would've had 17 if not for the back-to-back incredibly bad calls/no calls towards the end of the half. 

[Thin Red Swine]

Yeah I was trying to be absurd but hypothetically, which is closer to 34-10?

33-10
37-13

37-13 gets the margin of victory exact but I think it's 33-10.

Maybe it's an art not a science.

No question 33-10 is closer.

It is more of an art.

But mathematically, I would amend your formula like this:

Team 1 Score Differential + Team 2 Score Differential + Margin Differential = Competition Score

Using this, it would be...

The 31-17 prediction: 3 + 7 + 10 = 20
The 38-17 prediction: 4 + 7 +  3 = 14


Maybe we can get a ruling from the BCS Committee. I hear they have free time on their hands these days.

[bogeyfree]

I'm going full optimism this week:  31-28 Hogs

Never go full optimism with Hog football.  It will only prove you to be an idiot